Monday, December 12, 2011

Moody’s and Fitch frown on EU’s historic accord

Last Friday’s agreement to keep the euro zone from splintering was billed as an historic accord that would require deeper fiscal integration with the threat of sanctions if member states didn’t abide by tough budget rules.

On modest volume, stocks gained ground on Friday but credit markets were a bit more cautious.

Much like the October 27 agreement to save Greece, scrutiny and the glare of the spotlight are already giving rise to the naysayers.

Moody’s noted prior to the opening this morning, “The communiqué issued by European policymakers after the recent euro area summit offers few new measures and therefore does not change our analysis of the rising threat to the cohesion of the euro area and the further shocks to which it and the wider EU remain prone.”

Not wanting to be left out of the fun, Fitch Ratings at midday added, “The gradualist approach imposes additional economic and financial costs compared with an immediate comprehensive solution. It means the crisis will continue at varying levels of intensity throughout 2012 and probably beyond.

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Counterparty risk: Rising overnight bank deposits at the European Central Bank highlight growing fear in Europe.

Both agencies warned that downgrades remain a possibility. Stay tuned.