Thursday, December 9, 2010

Jump in farm products distorts wholesale inventories

A 26% rise in farm products, as well as big increases in petroleum and chemical inventories, led a huge 2.2% rise in wholesale inventories in October.  Similar increases in farm and petroleum sales resulted in a strong 1.9% rise in overall sales.  But the jump was most likely due to rising prices, which raised the value both inventories and sales.

Still, durables on hand increased a modest 0.5%, while sales grew a stronger 0.9%, indicating that production and demand remain on an upward path.

Meanwhile, the inventories-to-sales ratio held at a lean 1.18, which means that at the current sales pace it would take 1.18 months to liquidate all stockpiles.

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With demand rising, we will probably see further increases in production, which should help to support the economic recovery through the end of the year and into 2011.

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